Is FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) Among the Best Delivery Stocks to Buy According to Billionaires?

Insider Monkey
14 Mar

We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Delivery Stocks to Buy According to Billionaires. In this article, we are going to take a look at where FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) stands against the other delivery stocks.

The growth of global e-commerce is linked to a surge in demand for delivery services. According to research by environmental organization Stand.earth, global e-commerce is anticipated to grow at a rate more than twice that of in-store purchases. It is anticipated that by the end of this decade, 25,000 parcels will be shipped per second. The rise in global e-commerce has also produced a change in people’s shopping behaviors around the world. Online shopping accounts for about 15% of all American purchases, with an estimated yearly value of $1 trillion, as reported by Bloomberg.

ParcelHero projects that the global delivery and courier market will reach $648 billion by 2030, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.31%, driven by improved logistics technologies and e-commerce. The market was valued at $482.9 billion in 2023, representing a 2.5% annual growth rate with a 5% growth from 2018 to 2023. The UK market is projected to reach $32 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.22% from its 2023 valuation of $20.97 billion. The transportation management systems market is anticipated to surge by 19.7% from its 2023 valuation of $13.5 billion to $33.3 billion by 2028. Innovations in technology, such as tracking, automation, and AI-powered logistics, will boost productivity and accommodate growing package volumes.

Shipping and delivery times remain a key concern for customers. Recent data from Digital Commerce 360 and Bizrate Insights reveal that customers have remained committed to giving free and quick shipping top priority while placing online shopping in 2024. According to a survey of 1,013 online buyers, 81.34% of them rank free shipping as their main concern when receiving deliveries. Next in line is fast shipping, which was highlighted by 68.41% of respondents. Furthermore, 55.68% of customers stressed how important it is for merchants to maintain inventory and shipping readiness.

The demand for food delivery services has also increased dramatically as a result of the COVID-19 outbreak. Restaurants had to rely more on outside delivery services to stay afloat since dine-in options were shut down or severely restricted in many areas of the United States. Additionally, online grocery delivery and pickup services flourished as customers avoided going to stores. According to Bloomberg, online restaurant ordering accounted for about 40% of total restaurant sales in 2023, just over $22.4 billion in 2021, and has grown 300% faster than dine-in sales since 2014. CB Insights forecasts that the food delivery market size will grow to $320 billion by 2029.

In addition, drone technology is increasingly being used across the US, with leading companies providing faster delivery services, particularly for short-distance shipments. As per McKinsey, drone delivery services are expanding, with over 800,000 paid commercial deliveries globally by 2023. According to the firm’s most recent projections, the total addressable market in the United States alone is predicted to reach $5 billion by 2035, with an estimated 1.5 billion deliveries annually. Therefore, drone delivery is one of the first commercialized sectors of the larger future air mobility market, which also includes other platforms that use new aircraft, like urban and regional air mobility, as well as other commercial drone use cases, such as inspection or surveillance.

Even though drone deliveries are not yet widely available, 83% of consumers in six countries who participated in a McKinsey survey were aware of them. India leads at 92% and the U.S. comes in last at 53%, with 76% of respondents saying they would be willing to switch, reflecting a 19% growth from 2021. With 35% willing to pay up to 1.5 times more, 58% of respondents are willing to pay a premium. The most preferred use case is express shipping (56% are willing to switch), which is followed by food and medical delivery. Urban residents (80%) and frequent consumers (68% prepared to pay more for food delivery) have the highest adoption potential. Finally, operators should put speed and convenience first because 20% of customers currently pay for expedited shipment, showing that there is a high demand for faster alternatives.

A driver unloading packages from a van for a time-critical delivery.

Our Methodology

For this article, we scanned Insider Monkey’s Q4 2024 proprietary database of billionaires’ stock holdings and identified delivery stocks from the list. These companies are involved in logistics, shipping, and last-mile delivery services. From there, we picked the top 10 stocks with the highest number of billionaires having a stake in them. Where two or more stocks were tied on billionaire sentiment, we used the dollar value of billionaire holdings as a tiebreaker between them.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX)

Number of Billionaires: 15

Billionaire Holdings: 1,682,066,448

FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) is ranked fifth on our list of Best Delivery Stocks. It is the biggest distributor of expedited packages worldwide, having pioneered overnight service in 1973. It made 47% of its income from its express division, 37% from ground, and 10% from freight. The rest comes from other services, such as FedEx Logistics, which offers international forwarding, and FedEx Office, which produces and ships documents. In 2016, the company expanded its footprint throughout Europe by acquiring the Dutch package transportation company TNT Express. TNT used to be the fourth-biggest package delivery service in the world.

In the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) spent $820 million on capital expenditures, bringing its annual capital expenditure total to $5.2 billion. The company also repurchased $1 billion worth of shares, increasing its total repurchases for the year to $2 billion, with an additional $500 million expected for the second half. The company continues to generate excellent free cash flow.

FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) acquired RouteSmart Technologies, a world leader in route optimization, on February 6, 2025, to increase operational effectiveness. The two longtime partners hope the merger will go smoothly and that RouteSmart will continue to serve a range of sectors. RouteSmart will function autonomously under FedEx Dataworks, boosting its technological capabilities in logistics.

Overall, FDX ranks 5th on our list of the Best Delivery Stocks to Buy According to Billionaires. While we acknowledge the potential for FDX as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than FDX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stock To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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