Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

Zacks
23 Jan

Have you been paying attention to shares of TSMC (TSM)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 8.2% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $225.43 in the previous session. TSMC has gained 13% since the start of the year compared to the 37.2% move for the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the 114.6% return for the Zacks Semiconductor - Circuit Foundry industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on January 16, 2025, TSMC reported EPS of $2.24 versus consensus estimate of $2.16 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 1.91%.

For the current fiscal year, TSMC is expected to post earnings of $9.12 per share on $113.52 billion in revenues. This represents a 29.55% change in EPS on a 26.02% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $10.96 per share on $135.05 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 20.13% and 18.96%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

TSMC may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

TSMC has a Value Score of C. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 24.5X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 24.5X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 26.2X versus its peer group's average of 26.2X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.74. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, TSMC currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if TSMC fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though TSMC shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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