With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 46.8x MMG Limited (HKG:1208) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for MMG as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for MMG
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like MMG's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 152%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 88% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 87% per year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that MMG's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of MMG's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for MMG (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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