Why Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) Is the Best Beer Stock to Buy Now?

Insider Monkey
11 Dec 2024

We recently published a list of 8 Best Beer Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP) stands against other best beer stocks to buy now.

The first solid proof of brewed beer dates back to the Sumerians, around 6,000 years ago. Beer consumption was an important marker of societal and civilized virtues in Sumerian society and archaeologists even unearthed an ode to Ninkasi, the Mesopotamian patron goddess of beer. Later, the ancient Egyptians perfected the art of brewing and worshiped Tjenenet, the Egyptian goddess of brewing. Although these ancient deities are no longer revered in the modern world, their legacy has withstood the sands of time. Today, beer is widely cherished all around the globe and is, in fact, the third-most popular drink overall, right after water and tea.

READ ALSO: 25 Countries with the Highest Alcohol Consumption per Capita

Global Beer Market:

If your idea of relaxing at the end of the day involves cracking open a cold one, you’re not alone. Beer is the Most Consumed Alcohol in the World. As we mentioned in our article – Top 20 Beer Brands in the World – the global beer market is projected to grow from $821.39 billion in 2023 to $1.07 trillion by 2030, with a CAGR of 3.88% during the forecast period. The overall demand for premium and low-calorie beers, the rising popularity of craft brews, and the expansion of distribution networks in emerging markets are expected to continue driving growth in the global beer market over the next few years.

World Beer Output:

The global brewing industry was impacted by the generally difficult economic situation in 2023, so beer production worldwide fell to 1.88 billion hectoliters, representing a YoY decline of 0.9 %.

Peter Hintermeier, Managing Director of BarthHaas, commented:

“After we had managed to post modest growth in 2022 despite unfavorable conditions, we were expecting another small increase in 2023. However, energy, raw materials, packaging, logistics, and labor costs remained at a high level, which put pressure on the brewing business in many countries.”

The overall beer production in the US also fell by 5.6% to 193 million hl, making it the only beer-producing country in the Americas to witness a downturn in production volume.

Thomas Raiser, Managing Director of BarthHaas, stated the following about the future outlook of the global beer industry:

“The brewing industry is still feeling the effects of the war in Ukraine; companies throughout the entire supply chain are laboring under sustained high costs. Consumers in many countries are groaning under the burden of high inflation. We therefore only expect beer output to remain stable for the current year, but are unable to identify a clear trend for the future.”

State of the American Beer Industry: 

Americans seem to be shifting away from the brew as beer consumption in the US in 2023 fell to its lowest level since the 1970s, according to the Brewers’ Association. The popularity of hard seltzers, the decline in demand for domestic ‘premium’ brands such as Coors Light, and the overall decrease in alcohol consumption are believed to be the major reasons behind the downturn. In fact, in 2022, the American spirits industry surpassed beer in revenue for the first time ever. The trend then continued in 2023, driven primarily by the spirits ready-to-drink (RTD) category. Nevertheless, the country’s major brewers were still in good financial health, thanks to rising prices and a consumer shift towards more expensive, often imported beers.

Moreover, there was some positive news from the increasingly popular non-alcoholic (NA) beer category, where the market continues to explode with more and more options every day. For the 52 weeks ending May 19, 2024, Circana data shows dollar sales of NA beers in the US totaled $400.8 million, a 29.1% increase from the previous year, with case sales also up 21.8%. In the past few years, brands such as Athletic, WellBeing, and Partake – all dedicated exclusively to non-alcoholic beer – have come onto the scene, while several brewing giants have also kept up with the trend and introduced NA options.

Methodology:

To collect data for this article, we scanned Insider Monkey’s database of 900 hedge funds and picked the top 8 companies operating in the brewing sector with the highest number of hedge fund investors. When two or more companies had the same number of hedge funds investing in them, we ranked them by the revenue of their last financial year instead. Following are the Beer Stocks Held by the Most Hedge Funds.

At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

A wide-angled shot of a brewery showing the large machinery used for producing malt beverages.

Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 34

Coming in at number 3 in our list of the Best Alcohol Stocks in 2024 is the Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP), a multinational beverage and brewing giant with a diverse portfolio that includes a variety of beer brands, spirits, and non-alcoholic beverages spread across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

The company produces a wide selection of beers in multiple price categories, going from core brands like Coors Light and Miller Light, premium brands like Madri and Blue Moon, right down to economy brands like Miller Higher Life, Keystone, and Icehouse. In terms of volume percentage growth, its Coors Banquet brand is the fastest-growing top 15 beer brand in the US this year so far.

The gains made by Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP) due to the Bud Light upset seem to be coming to an end, as the company revealed a decrease in net sales and volumes in Q3 2024, with consolidated net sales revenue down by 7.8% and US financial volume dropping by 17.9%. However, it must also be kept in mind that MC has consistently increased its revenue over the last 4 years, from $9.65 billion in 2020 to $11.7 billion in 2023, while the Bud Light controversy only happened last year.

Knowing the risks it faces in the current beer market landscape, Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP) is actively investing in its spirits portfolio and even acquired the cult favorite high-end Bourbon and rye whiskey brand, Blue Run Spirits, last year.

BofA Securities recently upgraded Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP) from Neutral to Buy and increased the price target to $70, up from the previous $57. Molson Coors also offers a fair dividend yield and has been active in share buybacks, resulting in a shareholder yield of approximately 6% if maintained. While TAP may not be a high-growth stock, it positions itself as a defensive investment that could perform relatively well during economic downturns.

Overall, TAP ranks 3rd on our list of best beer stocks to buy now.  While we acknowledge the potential for TAP to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TAP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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