Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Shopify
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shopify had US$917.0m in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$4.90b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$3.98b net cash.
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shopify had liabilities of US$921.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.29b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$4.90b as well as receivables valued at US$1.24b due within 12 months. So it can boast US$3.93b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Shopify has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Shopify boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Shopify turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of US$1.1b. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shopify can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Shopify has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last year, Shopify actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shopify has net cash of US$3.98b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 133% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$1.4b. So we don't think Shopify's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Shopify is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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