Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. So after glancing at the trends within Fullshare Holdings (HKG:607), we weren't too hopeful.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fullshare Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0016 = CN¥37m ÷ (CN¥56b - CN¥32b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Fullshare Holdings has an ROCE of 0.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Electrical industry average of 6.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for Fullshare Holdings
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Fullshare Holdings' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Fullshare Holdings has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Fullshare Holdings' past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
In terms of Fullshare Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 1.1% that they were earning five years ago. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Fullshare Holdings becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a side note, Fullshare Holdings' current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 57% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 0.2%. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Unsurprisingly then, the stock has dived 94% over the last five years, so investors are recognizing these changes and don't like the company's prospects. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Fullshare Holdings that we think you should be aware of.
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