It's been a good week for CareCloud, Inc. (NASDAQ:CCLD) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 5.8% to US$2.56. Revenues of US$29m arrived in line with expectations, although statutory losses per share were US$0.04, an impressive 71% smaller than what broker models predicted. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
View our latest analysis for CareCloud
Taking into account the latest results, CareCloud's four analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$111.9m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 88% to US$0.38. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$115.9m and losses of US$0.53 per share in 2025. While the revenue estimates fell, sentiment seems to have improved, with the analysts making a very promising decrease in losses per share in particular.
The consensus price target fell 7.2% to US$4.80, with the dip in revenue estimates clearly souring sentiment, despite the forecast reduction in losses. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values CareCloud at US$6.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$3.50. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await CareCloud shareholders.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that CareCloud's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 0.6% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 8.9% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 9.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that CareCloud is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of CareCloud's future valuation.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple CareCloud analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 4 warning signs for CareCloud that you should be aware of.
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