Legend Biotech Corporation (NASDAQ:LEGN) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Simply Wall St.
15 Nov 2024

Shareholders might have noticed that Legend Biotech Corporation (NASDAQ:LEGN) filed its third-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.6% to US$39.89 in the past week. The results don't look great, especially considering that statutory losses grew 17% toUS$0.68 per share. Revenues of US$160,205,000 did beat expectations by 9.7%, but it looks like a bit of a cold comfort. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for Legend Biotech

NasdaqGS:LEGN Earnings and Revenue Growth November 15th 2024

Following the latest results, Legend Biotech's 20 analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$1.04b in 2025. This would be a huge 100% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 55% to US$0.85. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$1.02b and US$1.19 per share in losses. Although the revenue estimates have not really changed Legend Biotech'sfuture looks a little different to the past, with a very promising decrease in the loss per share forecasts in particular.

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$82.50, suggesting that reduced loss estimates are not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Legend Biotech, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$95.00 and the most bearish at US$60.00 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Legend Biotech's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 74% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 48% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 22% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Legend Biotech is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Legend Biotech going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see our analysis of Legend Biotech's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10