What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Boston Beer Company (NYSE:SAM) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Boston Beer Company:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = US$154m ÷ (US$1.4b - US$264m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Boston Beer Company has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Beverage industry average of 17%.
See our latest analysis for Boston Beer Company
In the above chart we have measured Boston Beer Company's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Boston Beer Company .
In terms of Boston Beer Company's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 19% over the last five years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
To conclude, we've found that Boston Beer Company is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 16% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Boston Beer Company that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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