Unfortunately for some shareholders, the G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding Co., Limited (SGX:XJB) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 68% share price decline.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in Singapore, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding
The revenue growth achieved at G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. Those who are bullish on G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 49% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
Following G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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